Various reports on the internet indicate that the new iPhone will be locked down. Needless to say, there is a backlash coming in technical circles. It will be interesting to see if this negative feeling has a negative impact on mainstream adoption.
I'm wondering if this is due to a US focus for the device. From what I've heard, mobile providers in the US often lock down their phones to a level unseen in Europe - even the phones themselves are often only available on a single network. Even comparatively dumb phones in Europe offer 3rd party Java apps, so maybe the European model iPhone will at least have Java - otherwise it will seem a bit silly that a phone costing at least £250 (probably a lot more) doesn't have a feature that a phone costing £35 has.